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geov
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

"Eddie ElfenBein" list was not reduced to 20:
Here is the list:
ABT
AFL
ANSS
BR
CERN
CHD
CHKP
DHR
DIS
FDS
FISV
HEI
HSY
ICE
MCO
MIDD
MLR
ROST
SCL
SHW
SLGN
SYK
TMO
TREX
ZTS

Aug 30, 2021 5:51:59 PM       
yuvaltaylor
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

The winner of the 2021 stock-picking contest is RTNL, with a return of 36.4%.

fandethai came in second, with a return of 32.2%.

Jim101 came in third, with a return of 29.8%.

These were the only contestants out of about fifteen to beat the S&P 500.

If each of the three winners would like to explain the rationale behind their picks, maybe we could all learn something from you.

Yuval Taylor
Product Manager, Portfolio123
invest(igations)
Any opinions or recommendations in this message are not opinions or recommendations of Portfolio123 Securities LLC.

Jan 1, 2022 9:04:48 PM       
geov
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

Yes, the returns of the various lists were no too great. Yuval very diplomatically did not post all the returns.
It just demonstrates that trading is required to beat the S&P500.

For what it's worth, here is my 2022 list of 20 stocks:
ABBV
ABT
AMAT
AVGO
BDX
CAT
CMI
CSCO
EMR
GD
GRMN
HOLX
HPQ
MDT
MTD
NTAP
SNA
TMO
TXN
UPS

Jan 1, 2022 10:38:47 PM       
sevensisters
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest


It just demonstrates that trading is required to beat the S&P500.


Agree 100%. And for 2022 I would add that being long is probably still the best strategy.

Jan 2, 2022 1:25:50 PM       
nrhp
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

My list ticker("TSLA AMD NVDA CDNS LRCX MRVL SNPS AAPL INTU KLAC BLDR ACLS ARCB BXC AOSL CLFP LPX HIMX DHI SMID") First 10 are top percent gainers previous 5 years, last 10 are diversified momentum stocks by industry with good fundamentals and technicals from my stock picking dartboard.

Jan 2, 2022 3:09:27 PM       
Edit 2 times, last edit by nrhp at Jan 2, 2022 3:11:20 PM
WalterW
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

Here's mine;

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1667933

Uses high PE as a sentiment indicator.

Walter

Jan 2, 2022 3:40:19 PM       
fandethai
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

Hi guys, hard to beat the index, but luckily I managed in that contest.
I did not used portfolio123 for my picks as I am not subscriber anymore, just my own tools and a garp+momentum approach for long term picks that I am using in real life and improved during 2021 year. So I am ready for the 2022 contest !
I wish you all a good health for that new year and thank you Yuval for maintaining that friendly contest :)

Jan 2, 2022 5:45:42 PM       
sglinski
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

My Submission for 2022:
Ticker("BJ,CMCSA,EBS,SFM,SWBI,SWKH,TGNA,VZ,WERN,WU,NRG,KO,PG,HSY,BRK.B,ABC,AMZN,INTC,GE,T")
This is the same strategy as previous years, a combo of low volatiliy, dividend, and discretionary stocks.
Should we be reporting Sharpe winners as well?

Fwiw, here is my contest history for all (apologies in advance for any oversights/errors):
https://www.portfolio123.com/app/screen/summary/191518?st=1&mt=1

Jan 3, 2022 9:37:12 AM       
Edit 1 times, last edit by sglinski at Jan 3, 2022 9:38:23 AM
RTNL
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

Here is the thought I had used in constructing the portfolio.
Since momentum and sentiment can be relatively short term signals, and the contest was for 1 year, I used quality and value as the bedrock for the portfolio. I have used this approach in my portfolio for a number of years in my taxable portfolio.

I usually make adjustments to GAAP numbers for calculating my own measure of quality, along with tests for accruals, coverage, etc. The screens are a starting point.

Hope that helps

Jan 3, 2022 4:33:42 PM       
Jim101
Re: 2021 stock-picking contest

My picks were a composite of several strategies, but in all cases the ranking within the strategies was a combination of quality and value.

The quality and value parameters were related to the strategy theme. For example, the dividend portion of the portfolio used various yield measures in the ranking system.

If you torture the data long enough, it will confess to anything.

Jan 16, 2022 1:56:21 PM       
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