Share your positive thoughts and facts here!

We’ll get through this of course. Maybe even more united than ever as we fight a common foe.

This pandemic team of doctors just landed in Italy to bring all hands on deck help , bring supplies , and share their expertise.

Truly touching. The banner says

[size=3]“We are waves of the same sea, leaves of the same tree, flowers of the same garden”[/size]

.


184344566-5336c056-78a6-4714-9a54-acfd7642cc7a.jpg

And this of course. Thanks Tomyani

[size=3]GOOD NEWS ABOUT THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC [/size]

U might like this site:
https://futureloop.com/register/coronavirus/

hes using this to grow a subscriber list, and I have nothing to do with that, but may be a bunch of positive news.

Not 100% positive, but clear we’ll thought out link in how to solve / address issue with tech and logistics management:
https://www.geekwire.com/2020/coronavirus-sleuth-outlines-apollo-program-bringing-pandemic/?mc_cid=0f5fbccb9b&mc_eid=06e98d3157

Nonna is not afraid of a virus

[color=blue][size=3]ITALIAN GRANDMA’S SUGGESTIONS ON CORONAVIRUS
[/size][/color]


The thing that has me most positive at the moment is looking at Germany’s data as of today. 16,290 confirmed cases thus far, but only 44 deaths.
Perhaps if your healthcare infrastructure can keep its head above water, this virus isnt as deadly as feared. I suspect there are a lot of factors that vary outcomes like predisposition of the population or even climate that we have absolutely no idea how to grasp with our current limited data.

Positive thoughts and prayers for Italy.

https://www.modernatx.com/modernas-work-potential-vaccine-against-covid-19

The number of new cases has dropped for the second consecutive day today. This is not a coincidence I think, it means that lockdown is working well. The same happened in Wuhan. The bad news is that the number of deaths in Wuhan still increased by a factor of 5 after this point.

But the good news is that the trend is broken and the end is in sight!

Not sure I see that?

What country / trend line are you looking at? It’s pretty early to be calling ‘end in sight’ I think?


On China side, much better looking:


You need to look at the chart with “Daily New Cases”. Also note that this chart on the worldometer site is always behind one day (no idea why). These are the numbers for the last 3 days: 6557, 5560, 4789. If the lockdown would not have any effect, the numbers would keep on increasing roughly 15-25% each day, instead of decreasing.

The peak three days ago comes 12 to 13 days after the lockdown started. It was exactly the same for Wuhan!

The media seems to be hesitant to declare victory for Italy, but I think it’s clear.



Btw, with ‘end in sight’ I did’t mean Italy is near zero new infections. I mean that the uncontrolled exponential growth has been stopped, and now it’s “just” a matter of time before Italy can start easing the lockdown restrictions. Light at the end of the tunnel might have been a better phrase.

I hope you’re right on Italy, but I wouldn’t judge trendline data based on values of a single day… I’d also be hesitant longer term in terms of what it all means until we see what happens in fall.

We’ll all make our decisions investment wise before them – but we don’t really know how big a deal rebound infections are, and how much we’ll have to limit travel intra and inter country.

But, numbers going down is definitely good news! And the Germany data is also very encouraging overall – even if we don’t 100% know why yet.

Testing coming online in LA:


https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-care/new-york-will-be-first-state-test-treatment-coronavirus-blood-n1167136

Testing under way using plasma from recovered people. has worked with other illnesses in past, and Chinese studies on Corona, show it may work.

Just to add something that media hasn’t really talked about, likely because they don’t want to instill more fear. This isn’t over after we surpass the peak. The peak is a quarantined peak. Once you release the quarantine there will be another peak and that’s the one I’m really worried about. It will take a while before we reach heard immunity to this so expect to get it either this year or next. So get in shape if you aren’t already. You’ll want healthy lungs to reduce your risk.

Here are some really good simulations of different kinds of infection rate curves. The world is trying to combine partial quarantine with social distancing so there won’t be much of a second peak. It seems to have worked in China and the models suggest it’s the best approach. You can see in the last two sims the effect of conformance by staying at home.

Best viewed on a desktop

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/?fbclid=IwAR36wGGLqQk4VqtMO0ugTj732Y8Yv1Y4lqdzXrZi9Hb3zzjjWPHb-mfSzrc&utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook

https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/coronavirus-spore-government-to-make-its-contact-tracing-app-freely-available-to

Global sharing of ‘track and trace’ apps and technology

https://techcrunch.com/2020/03/24/fda-now-allows-treatment-of-life-threatening-covid-19-cases-using-blood-from-patients-who-have-recovered/

FDA approves testing treatment in critically ill cases using blood of recovered patients

Resource detailing gov’t responses:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/1/d/1s6EgMa4KGDfFzcsZJKqwiH7yqkhnCQtW7gI7eHpZuqg/htmlview#gid=0

Virus MAY not be as bad as we thought.


In regards to that Oxford paper speculating that the virus was already rampant in the UK by January … Here is an article from December 19th 2019 estimating that UK’s NHS hospitals had treated eight times more patients than a year ago with flu like symptoms.