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dcnelson
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confused   Ranking System vs. SPX Reply to this Post
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In one of my ranking systems every bucket out-performs the SPX dramatically over the full duration of the data set.

Could use some help explaining this. I realize the SPX is cap weighted but it seems like something else is going on here.
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Attachment Ranking System vs. SPX.jpg (109103 bytes) (Download Count: 83)

[Jul 18, 2012 6:54:30 PM] Show Post Printable Version     [Link] Report threaten post: please login first  Go to top 
marco


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Re: Ranking System vs. SPX Reply to this Post
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What ranking system?

Your universe is SP500, where most stocks pay dividends. The benchmark cannot be changed in this tool (we'll change that soon) and it is always the SP500 index , mktcap weighted, w/no dividends.

The legend in the perf graph is incorrect. dividends are included in the buckets

Try this:

Run a screen backtest with similar settings and only one rule: Rank <5

This will show you the lowest bucket. Don't forget to set slippage=0. What do you get?
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Portfolio123 Staff
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by marco at Jul 18, 2012 8:31:18 PM]
[Jul 18, 2012 8:30:28 PM] Show Post Printable Version     [Link] Report threaten post: please login first  Go to top 
dcnelson
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Re: Ranking System vs. SPX Reply to this Post
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Interesting when you look at just the bottom bucket Rank < 5

Massively underperforms 1999- March 2009 then outperforms from 2009- present. Interestingly both the top and bottom buckets outperform.

This system isn't great for the SPX universe. The results on the full data set are closer to normal.

See attached
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Attachment Screen Rank ��� 5.jpg (73321 bytes) (Download Count: 63)

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Attachment Screen Rank ��� 5.jpg (73321 bytes) (Download Count: 62)

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Attachment SPX Rank - Mar 09.jpg (97364 bytes) (Download Count: 61)

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Attachment Spx Rank 2009-2012.jpg (116678 bytes) (Download Count: 59)

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Attachment Full Data Set.jpg (96033 bytes) (Download Count: 59)

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[Edit 1 times, last edit by dcnelson at Jul 20, 2012 12:28:53 PM]
[Jul 20, 2012 12:24:23 PM] Show Post Printable Version     [Link] Report threaten post: please login first  Go to top 
dcnelson
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Re: Ranking System vs. SPX Reply to this Post
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Previous doesn't have descriptions.

First and second chart (dupe) are a screen backtest of Rank < 5 where the universe is the SPX

Third is Rank Backtest of the SPX 1999- March 2009 (Bottom)

Fourth is Rank Backtest of the SPX 2009-present

Fifth is Rank Back test of the Full dataset including all stocks. This Particular system isn't great for the SPX but was trying to figure out why all buckets rank above the SPX when you limit the universe to just those stocks. I am assuming it is dividends but not sure.
[Jul 20, 2012 12:39:08 PM] Show Post Printable Version     [Link] Report threaten post: please login first  Go to top 
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