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marco


UNITED STATES
Joined: Jan 1, 1970
Posts: 3992
Status: Online

Changes to the FED model Reply to this Post
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We've revised the calculations for the SP500 estimates for the CurrY and NextY to a more robust formula. The previous one was adversely affected by splits (mot notably the reverse split of AIG). The new algorithm takes into account the float and seems less prone to sudden jumps. The numbers have changed though, so you should re-run your sims.

The overall curve changed a bit and the big picture does seem more rosy... The NextY estimates are actually in an uptrend. I don't know what these analysts are thinking though since the EPS trailing is still falling. They must have a real crystal ball, or are they caught up in this noise that the worst is over?? We shall see.
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Portfolio123 Staff
[Oct 9, 2009 5:48:03 PM] Show Post Printable Version     [Link] Report threaten post: please login first  Go to top 
marco


UNITED STATES
Joined: Jan 1, 1970
Posts: 3992
Status: Online

Re: Changes to the FED model Reply to this Post
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The changes will be reflected in the simulator by tomorrow.
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Portfolio123 Staff
[Oct 9, 2009 5:48:33 PM] Show Post Printable Version     [Link] Report threaten post: please login first  Go to top 
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